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2022 TipTop 25 Week Eight

Arkansas is picked first out of my hat for 2022

Welcome back to the college football ranking system that began with a preseason top 25 that was based solely on picking teams at random out of a hat, as shown above. You can see that Arkansas was selected first, thereby securing our preseason #1 slot. Sadly for the Razorbacks, they were unimpressive enough in their opener that they fell out of the top slot immediately, and by now they have fallen to the bottom of the TipTop 25, and are lucky to be ranked that highly.

As the games are played, I will be ranking teams completely blind to their histories and "name" value, so that they are ranked entirely based on what they do this season and, for the first half of the season at least, on where they were ranked in the preseason (as well as where their opponents were ranked in the preseason). Eventually, where teams were ranked in the preseason should have little or no impact on their current rankings.

All unranked FBS teams are treated the same here, but this ranking assumes that all FCS teams are at a lower power level, and therefore it is unacceptable for a ranked FBS team to struggle with an FCS team, let alone lose. Similarly, beating an FCS team, regardless of how "impressive" the score, means nothing and is treated the same as though the winner did not play a game at all.

Oklahoma had initially replaced Arkansas at #1, but Ohio State took over the top slot after Oklahoma lost their first game to Kansas State on September 24. Ohio State has been very impressive, winning every game by more than a touchdown, but this week we have a new team taking the throne, as covered below.

TipTop 25 After Week Eight Games

As stated above, Ohio State had been #1 last week, and they've been very impressive, winning every game by more than a touchdown, but Clemson replaces them on the throne this week anyway. That's because Clemson has now beaten 4 ranked teams (#3 Wake Forest, #9 Syracuse, #11 NC State, and #12 FSU), and Ohio State has not beaten any team that is ranked or even close to ranked (top 38). That difference in strength of schedule has become too large to ignore any longer. The latest rankings:

#1
Clemson 8-0
#2 Ohio State 7-0
#3 Wake Forest 6-1
#4 Texas Christian 7-0
#5 Georgia 7-0
#6 Michigan 7-0
#7 Oklahoma State 6-1
#8 Penn State 6-1
#9 Syracuse 6-1
#10 Tennessee 7-0
#11 North Carolina State 5-2
#12 Florida State 4-3
#13 Louisiana State 6-2
#14 Mississippi 7-1
#15 Oregon 6-1
#16 UCLA 6-1
#17 Alabama 7-1
#18 Kentucky 5-2
#19 Florida 4-3
#20 Utah 5-2
#21 Mississippi State 5-3
#22 South Carolina 5-2
#23
Arkansas 4-3
#24 Southern Cal 6-1
#25 Oregon State 6-2

Notes on Other Changes to This Week's TipTop 25

6-2 Maryland had been ranked #14 last week, and they did win this week, but they fall out of this week's TipTop 25 anyway. That's because they have previously lost to Purdue, who had been ranked #12 last week, and this week Purdue was smashed by unranked Wisconsin, sending the Boilermakers out of the rankings, and they take Maryland out the door with them.

South Carolina could have been ranked last week, but at that point they only had one win of any significance (albeit a very good one, over now-#18 Kentucky), so I was waiting for them to get a second decent win. They did that this week, topping Texas A&M, so let's go ahead and bring them in at #22. That puts them ahead of #23 Arkansas, who has beaten them, and behind #18 Kentucky, whom they have beaten. We'll leave them ranked behind #21 Mississippi State primarily because MSU had been ranked #10 in the preseason ratings, while South Carolina was not in the preseason top 50.

6-1 Cincinnati had been ranked #25 last week, but they struggled to beat a weak opponent for the 2nd straight game this week (29-27 at 3-4 SMU), so we're moving 6-1 Southern Cal and 6-2 Oregon State ahead of them.

Close to the Top 25

These teams are next in line to be ranked:

#26 Cincinnati
#27 Illinois
#28 Washington
#29 Liberty
#30 North Carolina
#31 Troy
#32 South Alabama
#33 Tulane
#34 Kansas State
#35 Texas Tech
#36 Texas
#37 Purdue
#38 Maryland

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