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2022 TipTop 25 Week Four

Arkansas is picked first out of my hat for 2022

Welcome back to the college football ranking system that began with a preseason top 25 that was based solely on picking teams at random out of a hat, as shown above. You can see that Arkansas was selected first, thereby securing our preseason #1 slot. Sadly for the Razorbacks, they were unimpressive enough in their opener that they fell out of the top slot immediately, and by now they have fallen all the way out of the TipTop 25.

As the games are played, I will be ranking teams completely blind to their histories and "name" value, so that they are ranked entirely based on what they do this season and, for the first few weeks at least, on where they were ranked in the preseason (and on where their opponents were ranked in the preseason). Eventually, where teams were ranked in the preseason should have little or no impact on their current rankings.

All unranked FBS teams are treated the same here, but this ranking assumes that all FCS teams are at a lower power level, and therefore it is unacceptable for a ranked FBS team to struggle with an FCS team, let alone lose. Similarly, beating an FCS team, regardless of how "impressive" the score, means nothing and is treated the same as though the winner did not play a game at all.

TipTop 25 After Week Four Games

Oklahoma had been #1 last week, but their upset loss to Kansas State knocks them all the way out of the TipTop 25 this week (more detail on that below), enabling Ohio State to move up one slot and onto the throne. For now. The latest rankings:

#1
Ohio State 4-0
#2 Washington 4-0
#3 Oklahoma State 3-0
#4 Southern Cal 4-0
#5 Oregon State 3-1
#6 James Madison 3-0
#7 Georgia 4-0
#8 Mississippi 4-0
#9 Tennessee 4-0
#10 Pittsburgh 3-1
#11 Kansas 4-0
#12 Minnesota 4-0
#13 Texas Christian 3-0
#14 West Virginia 2-2
#15 UCLA 4-0
#16 South Alabama 3-1
#17 Clemson 4-0
#18 Alabama 4-0
#19 Michigan 4-0
#20 Kentucky 4-0
#21 Wake Forest 3-1
#22 Maryland 3-1
#23 Southern Methodist 2-2
#24
North Carolina State 4-0
#25 Appalachian State 2-2

Notes on Changes to This Week's TipTop 25

3-1 Oregon State had been unranked last week, and they lost this week, but they come zooming all the way into the top 5 anyway. How could such a thing happen? Well, first of all their loss was very impressive, coming 17-14 to now-#4 Southern Cal. Secondly, Oregon State had been ranked #13 in the preseason, which is higher than all but 2 of the teams currently ranked in the top 25! Thirdly, they had initially fallen out of the top 25 due to a close win at unranked Fresno State, but at this point a lot of our top 25 teams have posted a close win over an unranked opponent, so that kind of blemish doesn't hurt a team's ranking nearly as much as it did a couple of weeks ago.

Similarly, 3-1 Wake Forest, who had been ranked #5 in the preseason, also comes into the top 25 despite losing this week. Their close win over unranked Liberty a couple of weeks ago no longer hurts them as much. Their loss came to 4-0 Clemson, who had been unranked last week, and for that reason, these 2 teams are much lower ranked than USC and Oregon State are.

4-0 Michigan, 3-1 Maryland, and 2-2 Southern Methodist all come into the TipTop 25 this week due to SMU's close loss to now-#13 Texas Christian (Michigan beat Maryland this week, and Maryland has previously beaten SMU). All 3 teams have performed well against unranked teams.

2-2 Appalachian State comes into the top 25 due primarily to unranked 3-1 Texas A&M's victory this week over 3-1 Arkansas, who had been ranked #13 last week. Appalachian State had previously beaten Texas A&M, so they benefit most from the Aggies' big win. 3-1 North Carolina has previously beaten Appalachian State, but the Tar Heels lost by more than a touchdown to unranked Notre Dame at home this week, on top of an atrociously close win over 0-4 Georgia State the previous week, and they are thus unrankable for now. So Appalachian State becomes our first ranked team that has taken a loss to an unranked opponent.

3-1 Cincinnati had been ranked #14 last week, but they fall out of the top 25 along with Arkansas, having previously lost to the Razorbacks.

Last week, Oklahoma had been #1 and Kansas State #24, and this week KSU upset the Sooners, but both fall out of the top 25 because Tulane, who had beaten KSU the week before, just lost to unranked Southern Miss. That sends Tulane out of the rankings, and KSU and Oklahoma follow them out the door.

Close to the Top 25

The following teams are next in line to be ranked:

#26 Troy
#27 Texas A&M
#28 Arkansas
#29 Cincinnati

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